Current conditions

:Product: Geophysical Alert Message wwv.txt
:Issued: 2024 May 05 0605 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
#          Geophysical Alert Message
#
Solar-terrestrial indices for 04 May follow.
Solar flux 167 and estimated planetary A-index 6.
The estimated planetary K-index at 0600 UTC on 05 May was 1.33.

Space weather for the past 24 hours has been strong.
Radio blackouts reaching the R3 level occurred.

Space weather for the next 24 hours is predicted to be moderate.
Geomagnetic storms reaching the G2 level are likely.
Radio blackouts reaching the R2 level are expected.

wwv alert messages

Last 25 or 250 wwv alert messages.

Solar activity and geomagnetic forecast

Geomagnetic 3 days forecast for high latitudes

planetary index (K)

UTC	00-03	03-06	06-09	09-12	12-15	15-18	18-21	21-00
2024 May 5	3	3	3	4	3	4	3	3
2024 May 6	4	5	6	6	5	5	2	2
2024 May 7	2	2	3	3	3	3	3	2

Probability of Geomagnetic conditions at high latitudes

	Active	Minor_Storm	Major-Severe_Storm
2024 May 5	5	20	75
2024 May 6	5	15	80
2024 May 7	15	25	40

Geomagnetic 3 days forecast for mid latitudes

planetary index (K)

UTC	00-03	03-06	06-09	09-12	12-15	15-18	18-21	21-00
2024 May 5	3	3	3	2	2	2	3	4
2024 May 6	4	5	5	4	3	3	2	2
2024 May 7	2	3	3	2	2	2	3	2

Probability of Geomagnetic conditions at mid latitudes

	Active	Minor_Storm	Major-Severe_Storm
2024 May 5	35	35	20
2024 May 6	30	40	25
2024 May 7	30	10	1

24-hour forecast of a polar cap absorption (PCA) event

Green
No active sunspot region on the Sun is likely to produce a PCA event in the 24 hours.

Computed daily at 23h00Utc from datas issued from SEC.
f5len.org (c 2004-2010)

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